The tariff headwinds are no longer just a political talking point; they’re a disruptive force businesses can’t afford to ignore. While investors had priced in a broad 10–15% tariff baseline earlier this year, many are now confronting the reality of reciprocal tariffs ranging from 15% to 50%, with key partners like the EU, India, Japan,…
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It’s been a strange year for the U.S. stock market. Despite a wave of new tariffs and persistent warnings about valuation, the S&P 500 keeps breaking records. What’s behind this resilience? The answer, it turns out, is a mix of robust corporate earnings, sector-wide growth, and unshaken faith in the future of artificial intelligence. Corporate…
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June PPI: A Tale of Two EconomiesThe latest Producer Price Index (PPI) report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows a clear divergence: while overall prices remained flat in June (0.0% MoM), the details tell a more nuanced story. Goods prices rose +0.3%, while services prices declined –0.1%, a reflection of America’s dual-track inflation story.…
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America stands at a fiscal crossroads. With the national debt soaring past $36 trillion and structural reform stymied by political gridlock, the risk of long-term stagnation is real. But the answer isn’t austerity or fear; it’s strategic, inclusive, and innovation-driven growth. I’m proud to announce the release of my latest book, Escaping the Deficit Trap:…
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Today’s Consumer Price Index report revealed a 2.7% year-over-year increase in June CPI, up from 2.4% in May, with headline CPI rising 0.3% month-over-month and core CPI (excluding food and energy) at 2.9% annually. Key Insights and Implications: 1. Tariff Pass‑Through in Progress – The rollout of 2025 tariffs is now showing up in core…
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This morning’s jobs report looks upbeat at first glance; 147,000 new jobs, 4.1% unemployment—but the headline barely scratches the surface. A few things stand out:• The private sector added just 74,000 jobs, its weakest showing in eight months. ADP actually reported a loss of 33,000 private-sector jobs in June. Most of the growth (about 73,000…
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